Contemporary cultural, demographic, and generational trends in the United States indicate that the liberal coalition that emerged victorious with the election of Barack Obama in 2008 will continue to be dominant in the decades ahead. I have written about the reasons for that elsewhere. Yet this coalition will prove to be an unstable one over the long haul. The simple fact is that present day liberal ideology and liberalism's core constituent groups contain within themselves certain contradictions that will eventually prove to be fatal. There is simply no way that an agglomeration of affluent liberal whites, underclass blacks and Hispanics, affirmative action-babies, feminists, gay militants, transsexuals, Third World immigrants, atheists, Muslims, hipster youth, traditional blue collar workers, state-connected labor unions, Jewish plutocrats, environmentalists, and the left-wing of the traditional WASP elite, with each of these attempting to get their pieces of the pie distributed by the managerial-therapeutic-multicultural-welfare state, can be politically durable on an indefinite basis. The only thing that unites this coalition is hostility to traditional Western culture and a desire for more freebies courtesy of the state. While this coalition will indeed continue to become more powerful and its values more deeply entrenched in institutions in the short term, over the long term it will self-cannibalize and collapse due to its own internal contradictions and fractious nature.
American partisan cycles tend to run for thirty-five to forty years and then decline. For example, from the time of the assuming of the presidency by William McKinley until the end of the administration of Herbert Hoover, the Republicans were the dominant party in U.S. politics (with the horrid exception of Woodrow Wilson). From the election of FDR in 1932 until the end of the 1960s the Democrats were the prevailing party. From 1968 until Obama, the Republicans were once again dominant. It likely that the Democrats will continue to be the preeminent party until the middle of the century begins to approach and then be eclipsed by a new political coalition. The great wild card in all of this is that the time the present partisan cycle will be winding down will be precisely the same time the demographic transformation from a majority white nation to a collection of minorities is expected to occur. Those readers who will still be alive during those years should expect some interesting times. As political correctness becomes more deeply rooted in Western institutions, it will have fewer qualms about showing its fangs. That will be its undoing. Pablo Picasso said: "I went to Communism as one goes to a spring of fresh water." To this, Arthur Koestler replied: "I went to Communism as one goes to a spring of fresh water, and I left Communism as one clambers out of a poisoned river strewn with the wreckage of flooded cities and the corpses of the drowned." As political correctness tightens its grip and demographic overrun becomes ever more imminent, I predict many a former liberal will undergo an 11th hour awakening and come to their senses. Expect a resurrection of the ghost of Pim Fortuyn when that happens.
Communism failed because at a primary level it attempted to deny the realities of human nature. As the late, great avant-garde composer, blues/rock/jazz guitarist and iconoclast Frank Zappa once remarked, "Communism doesn't work because people like to own stuff." Likewise, multiculturalism will not work out in the long run because human beings are by nature tribal creatures. Feminism will implode because males and females have different biological destinies and therefore different social destinies. Egalitarianism and universalism will not survive because differentiation and otherness are endemic parts of what it means to be human. Russia and the nations of Eastern Europe survived Soviet Marxism. China survived Maoism. Western Europe and the Anglo-sphere will survive Cultural Marxism.
